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Fig. 1 | Parasites & Vectors

Fig. 1

From: Spatio-temporal spillover risk of yellow fever in Brazil

Fig. 1

Conceptual diagram of modeling methods. The dataset was aggregated by month and municipality (top panel) before being split into training (70%) and withheld testing (30%) datasets. Models were fit to 500 data subsamples, which consisted of 10 spillover events and 100 background observations (lower panel). The bagged logistic model predictions are the average of subsampled dataset models. Spatial dependence was not considered in the model

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