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Table 4 Dynamic relationship (VAR) between PMH (%) for CanL and incidence of HVL, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, 2006–2013

From: Spatial and temporal relationships between human and canine visceral leishmaniases in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, 2006–2013

Independent variables

Dependent variables

HVL

PMH

Coefficient

P-value

Coefficient

P-value

HVL_1

-0.67

< 0.0001

0.07

0.35

HVL_2

-0.30

< 0.0001

0.12

0.11

PMH_1

-0.14

0.31

-0.24

0.02

PMH_2

0.30

0.04

-0.19

0.08

R 2

0.40

0.13

  

Adjusted R2

0.38

0.09

  

Durbin-Watson

2.10

2.04

  
  1. Abbreviations: VAR vector autoregressive model, HVL_1 human cases recorded a month later, HVL_2 human cases recorded two months later, PMH _1 proportion of monitoring hosts recorded a month later, PMH _2 proportion of canine monitoring hosts recorded two months later, HVL human visceral leishmaniasis, CanL canine leishmaniasis, PMH proportion of monitoring hosts (dogs not euthanized by the health service) = positive dogs only in the ELISA/ dogs evaluated