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Table 5 Time to 2 % target prevalence based on antigen-detection diagnostics. Mean ± SD of program duration (in years) required to reach a target Schistosoma haematobium infection prevalence ≤ 2 % (T(f C , τ)). The panels and intervention values are the same as in Table 4 but using worm antigen-test diagnostics to identify post-treatment infection prevalence

From: Modelling control of Schistosoma haematobium infection: predictions of the long-term impact of mass drug administration in Africa

A.

Community-wide MDA Coverage- High-risk village

Interval

50 %

60 %

70 %

80 %

90 %

100 %

0.5

12 ± 6.5

7.5 ± 5.5

4.5 ± 0.5

3.5 ± 0.5

3 ± 0.5

2.5 ± 0.5

0.75

> 30

22.5 ± 9

11 ± 7

7.5 ± 5.5

4.5 ± 1

3.5 ± 0.5

1

> 30

> 30

27.5 ± 6.5

15 ± 9

8.5 ± 5.5

5 ± 1

1.25

> 30

> 30

> 30

27.5 ± 6.5

18 ± 10.5

8.5 ± 5.5

1.5

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

27.5 ± 6.5

17 ± 10

1.75

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

24.5 ± 8.5

2

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

2.25

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

2.5

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

2.75

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

3

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

á…Ÿ

á…Ÿ

á…Ÿ

á…Ÿ

á…Ÿ

á…Ÿ

á…Ÿ

B.

School-based MDA Coverage- Low-risk village

Interval

50 %

60 %

70 %

80 %

90 %

100 %

0.5

17.5 ± 13.

16 ± 13.5

14 ± 13.5

13 ± 13.5

11 ± 13.

10.5 ± 13.

0.75

24.5 ± 9.5

19.5 ± 12.

17.5 ± 13.

16 ± 13.

14 ± 13.5

13.5 ± 14.

1

> 30

26 ± 8.5

21 ± 11.5

19 ± 12.5

16.5 ± 13.

15.5 ± 13.5

1.25

> 30

> 30

26 ± 8.5

21.5 ± 11.

19 ± 12.5

17.5 ± 13.

1.5

> 30

> 30

29 ± 4.

26 ± 8.5

21 ± 11.

19 ± 12.5

1.75

> 30

> 30

> 30

29 ± 4.5

25.5 ± 9.5

20 ± 11.5

2

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

28 ± 6.

23.5 ± 10.

2.25

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

25.5 ± 9.

2.5

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

28 ± 6.5

2.75

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

3

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30

> 30