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Table 1 Periods for which the effort or effectiveness of diagnosis may have varied in Thailand, corresponds to parameters fitted

From: Back-calculating the incidence of infection of leprosy in a Bayesian framework

Diagnosis year, d

Why

d < 1972

In 1971 leprosy treatment moved into general health-care services

1972 ≤ d < 1977

On-going training of health-care workers, so possible loss of effectiveness

1977 ≤ d < 1984

In 1984 WHO introduced multidrug therapy (MDT), so this period uses general health-care services but no MDT

1984 ≤ d < 1992

Both general health-care services and treatment by MDT

1992 ≤ d < 2001

1991: global target set of 1 new case per 10,000 of population by 2000

d ≥ 2001

Past the cut-off for the global target, possible change in effort