Fig. 2
From: Evaluating long-term effectiveness of sleeping sickness control measures in Guinea
Model fits (a) base-case model without a non-human animal (NHA) reservoir, and (b) model with an NHA reservoir. Trajectories of the model fitted to prevalence data for stage I and stage II HAT cases from Boffa East mainland using Bayesian melding for years 2008 and 2013 and validated using 2010 and 2012. The red lines represent the HAT phase I and phase II prevalence estimated by our model for baseline epidemiological parameters (the grey areas represent the 95Â % confidence intervals)