Figure 4

Mosquito density as a percentage of pre-intervention density. The density of adult mosquitoes as a percentage of total density resulting from no intervention, LLINs (at 50% and 80% coverage) and IRS at 80% coverage, predicted by a model with constant mosquito emergence (no density-dependent feedback; grey bars) in comparison with the prediction by the model including the full mosquito lifecycle presented in this paper (white bars). Error bars show 95% credible intervals arising from the uncertainty in the model fitting only. There will be additional uncertainty due to variation in the effectiveness of the interventions.