Table 9 Summary of continent-wide predictive models available in the literature that map the range of An. gambiae in Africa
Reference | Method | Variables selected |
|---|---|---|
Rogers et al. [54] | Maximum likelihood | Not given |
Lindsay et al.[52] | Data Exploration Tool (DET) within Geographic Information System (GIS), Arc/Info (Non-linear regression) | Annual precipitation between 330-3224 mm Maximum annual temperature 25-42°C Minimum annual temperature 5-22°C Mean Max. temp of the wet season 25-38°C Mean Min. temp of the wet season 11-24°C |
Coetzee et al. [24] | No model but plot presence/absence against mean annual rainfall | N.A. |
Levine et al. [53] | Ecologic niche modelling | Frost days mentioned as strongly influential No clear influence of other climatic/environmental variables |
Moffett et al. [55] | Maximum Entropy (Maxent) niche model | Mean temp of coldest quarter Min. temp of coldest month Precipitation of wettest month Altitude Precipitation of warmest quarter landscape |
Current work | Boosted Regression Tree (BRT) | Mean precipitation Max. precipitation Altitude (DEM) Precipitation - amplitude of the bi-annual cycle Minimum LST |